Why is the content of this map important?
Extreme precipitation affects many aspects of our life. It can lead to flooding of inhabited area and infrastructure, it can cause landslides and can lead to reduced crop yields.
Which sectors are affected by this result?
What is shown on the maps?
On the basis of all rainy days (more than 1mm/day) within the 30 year period, the maps show the 95th percentile of precipitation (only 5% of the rainy days exceed this value). This value is an indicator for the strength of extreme precipitation events. It is shown for the reference present day climate and the +2°C global warming in mm/day. In addition, the difference is plotted for the +2°C global warming period.
At large, a slight increase in extreme precipitation is projected in Europe. Single regions show a more pronounced increase in extreme precipitation. In present day climate, the region of North-East Italy/Western Slovenia/Southern Austria shows comparatively high simulated extreme precipitation. In parts of this region, an elevated increase in extreme precipitation is simulated.
Details and further information:
To investigate this, the ensemble mean of the five mandatory climate simulations is used. Hence, the ensemble consists of 5 simulations in total.
Claas Teichmann
Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Germany